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"A government that robs Peter to pay Paul, can always count on the support of Paul." George Bernard Shaw

Monday, November 30, 2009

Mr. President - I am OK with you taking your time on some things!

I am not a big fan of Obama’s domestic agenda.  But I am fine with him taking his time on deciding on troop levels in Afghanistan.  George W rushed into too many decisions after 9/11 and many of them have turned out to be big mistakes.  This is an expensive decision (both in lives and dollars) to send more troops overseas.  It might work or it might fail but taking a little extra time on considering the options seems like time well spent.

Posted via email from John's posterous

Sunday, November 29, 2009

The Jobless Gender Gap

WSJ article

The unemployment rate for men is now 11.4% but only 8.8% for women.

Posted via email from John's posterous

What if we replaced unemployment insurance with moving benefits?

When an auto plant shuts down in Detroit, instead of paying families to stay where they are, we should instead help these folks move to where there are better job prospects.  The problem is if you hang on in Detroit, the chances are not very good for getting a job anytime soon (with a state unemployment rate of 15.1% in October).  But the unemployment rate in Nebraska is only 4.9%.  So why not help those that want to move to move in lieu of staying where they are?

Most politicians will hate this idea – especially the state and local officials from the Detroit area.  They will argue that they are wooing new jobs into the area, and creating government jobs.  If you think they will be successful I have a bridge to sell you.

Posted via email from John's posterous

If you're not getting older you're dead!

Tom Petty quote on CBS morning show 11/29/09.

Posted via email from John's posterous

Has anyone other than our celebrities found a real use for Twitter?

Talk about hype – Twitter has had plenty.  There is clearly an advantage to rationing letters in a message to 140 but beyond this benefit where’s the beef?  If you are a movie star or sports celebrity maybe you can have some fun with this and a few of your fans will care.  But I really don’t want to hear about the challenges of shopping for fresh basal.  You get a little of this on Facebook, but much more.  To me Facebook is far more interactive and interesting.  What do you think?

PS - in an effort to keep exploring I am posting this on my Twitter account as well.

Posted via email from John's posterous

Saturday, November 28, 2009

Should Tiger plead an early mea culpa?

All the PR people always tell folks to step up and take your medicine early.  If you screwed up and it is a public story, then plea mea culpa early and try to get on with things.  Tiger Woods is not taking that approach.  He is trying to keep his head down and wait for the story to blow over (although the National Enquirer story about his affair will come out in early December).  Now I have a lot of respect for the Public Relations professionals that I have worked with over the years (especially Jackie Gentle, Mark Palmer & Dave Monfried) but this is one of those theories with few statistics and plenty of anecdotal evidence.   What do you think?

Posted via email from John's posterous

Should Tiger plead Mea Culpa

All the Public Relations pros (I know) always tell folks to step up and take your medicine early. If you screwed up and it is a public story, then plea mea culpa immediately and try to get on with things. Tiger Woods is not taking that approach. He is trying to keep his head down and wait for the story to blow over (although the National Enquirer story about his affair is rumored to be published in early December). Now I have a lot of respect for the Public Relations professionals that I have worked with over the years (especially Jackie Gentle, Mark Palmer & Dave Monfried) but this is one of those theories with few statistics and plenty of anecdotal evidence. What do you think?

This is a very neat new service - Posterous

You set up an account at Posterous.com.  Then you can post to all of your accounts with one simple email.  You send an email to post@posterous.com and it recognizes your email address and places your post on more than one site.  So you can write something once and then it will post it for example on Facebook, Flickr, your blog site (I use blogger.com) and twitter without you having to post on them one at a time.  It works for videos, pictures and text.

Posted via email from John's posterous

Saturday, November 21, 2009

Judges given immunity from damages in civil suits

A federal judge has ruled that former judges Michael Conahan and Mark Ciavarella, in Luzerne County, PA are immune from damages in civil suits stemming from the kids-for-cash scandal for actions they took in court, but not for their out-of-court actions.

Please explain this logic to me. If a judge knowingly abuses his judicial role why should he be immune from paying the damages he caused? Why does a crooked judge get this kind of break? I understand the notion of indemnifying them for “honest” mistakes but that is not the case here.

The federal judge ruled that the former judges could be at risk for their administrative actions but not their actions on the bench. But why make the distinction?

Dirty judges are more dangerous than crooked cops or crooked politicians. Nothing will damage our system more than actions like these two.

When government takes over

http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2009/11/20/BA611ANSAB.DTL

When government takes over important services like education and health care, important management and pricing decisions are left to politics rather than good business practice. These protesters at UC Berkeley were fighting to reinstate 38 custodial jobs that were recently cut and to stop the big increases in tuition.

The overriding message here is a sense of entitlement. Entitlement to a job, entitlement for a student to have “staff” clean up their mess and entitlement to a top education at very low price.

When employees at a private company lose their jobs they are usually out the next day looking for their next gig. When customers of private companies think prices are too high they immediately start looking for cheaper alternatives.

But when government provides these services it is very hard to make cuts and to change pricing without a protracted media and political process. This is just another reason to keep the government out of business that can be provided by the private sector – especially health care.

Monday, November 16, 2009

We finally cancelled our paid AOL service

My wife and I have had AOL for about 13 plus years. We had been meaning to cancel the account and switch to other free email users but never got around to it. Even after AOL starting allowing you to keep your existing AOL email address we set up a couple of other email addresses with Gmail and others but kept on paying AOL their monthly fee.

But yesterday after a bizarre episode I finally got around to cancelling my paid AOL account. They sent us an email to tell us that the credit card that we were using was about to expire and that we had to update the credit card information in order to keep the account current. And they gave us one days notice to accomplish this.
So my wife got online to do this and she called me in. Low and behold in addition to the usual information about our credit card (like, name, account number, expiration date) they wanted the pin number for the credit card (even if we did not have one) and the routing number for the bank issuing the credit card (tell me who knows this).

We didn’t have either of these but finally got around to canceling our paid service and switching over to their free service. I’ll bet we are not the only ones they lost but AOL won’t figure it out until they are completely out of business.

Why not have PBS stand on its own without taxpayer support?

Public Television has some very good shows and some very mediocre shows. But why should they be subsidized by taxpayers?

PBS is largely funded by the Corporation for Public Broadcasting which is in turn receives 15% to 20% of its annual operating revenue from the US Government and 25% to 29% from State and local taxes.

When it was founded in 1970, PBS took over from its predecessor the National Educational Television. At that time there were few alternatives to CBS, NBC & ABC. But the world has changed. Now we have CNN, Fox, A&E, the History Channel & the Discovery Channel to name a few alternatives.

For some reason the fact that the PBS stations are largely non-profit gives it a free pass. Why not have PBS stand on its own without taxpayer support?

Sunday, November 1, 2009

Let's Phase Out Home Ownership Subsidies

Somewhere along the line our politicians decided that homeownership was good for America. Now granted a man or woman that owns a own home seems more likely to take care of their city and invest in the local community than a renter but there are other ways to achieve this goal and I haven’t seen any data to really support this assumption. But owning a home does tend to keep a family from moving even though the jobs have shifted to another part of the country. And clearly all those homeowners that could not afford their homes and have abandoned them recently have not done much to beautify their old neighborhoods.

From the early 1900’s government has been subsidizing home ownership and that subsidy keeps on getting bigger. Voting against home ownership subsidies is almost seen as un-American. It has been an addictive drug for the American economy with virtually no one challenging it.

Now let me say up front that my wife and I have two lovely homes, and far more square footage, and bathrooms than we need. We have participated in this subsidy. But the madness has to stop. We need to find a way to phase out these housing subsidies and push American investment into areas that will strengthen the US economy long term and make us competitive not just a better place to watch Sunday NFL games from the a comfortable television room. And I say this knowing that reducing home ownership subsidies will decrease the value of my two homes.

Here are some ways we subsidize home ownership. We allow you to write off your mortgage interest on not only your first home but your second home as well. We allow you to write off the property taxes not only on your first home but your second home. If you make up to a half a million dollar profit when you and your wife sell your first home then it is tax free. We subsidize and force our banks to make low down payment mortgage loans and then recently we have been giving $8,000 tax credits to first time home buyers. All of these have made buying a home a very good investment (until lately). Almost a no-lose proposition. As a result for decades the price of homes increased far faster than most investments. And these subsidies were a primary driver in the long term increase in home prices.

The logic goes that homes are expensive so we need to subsidize them more, which just leads to them being yet more expensive than they otherwise would be. So then we have to subsidize them even more. In the end, homes end up no more affordable than they would have been without the subsidies. But we end up with far bigger homes, far more homes, a big national debt and a struggling economy.

Owning a second home in Hawaii or Florida has always been more fun than owning IBM stock or investing in a new wafer board technology. But what possible societal reason is there for subsidizing the ownership of second homes? This is not only a middle and upper class subsidy but it sucks out investment dollars from areas like technology, medical device inventions, and agri-business innovation that tend to make the US dollar stronger and lead to long-term job growth. The net result is that our country has invested far too much in housing rather than businesses that would have resulted in exports to other countries and investments that would give us a long term competitive advantage.

So here are some of the results of all of these subsidies. From 1960 through 2007 the average size of a new US home went from about 1200 square feet to about 2700 square feet (a 125% increase). At the same time that homes have been getting bigger the number of housing units (this includes all homes, second homes, condos, mobile homes and apartments) per person went from about .32 housing units per person to about .42 (31% more per person). The net result is that the square footage per person increased by about 190% per person.

Now Washington (and our State governments) are far less likely to reduce these subsidies than to expand them. After all if something isn’t working then do it bigger and better - never question doing away with it. It appears that Washington will expand the $8,000 new home owner tax credit beyond its original expiration date this November and include existing home owners.

This is the problem with subsidies – once we get addicted to them it is almost politically impossible to ever stop them. Think back to our subsidies for tobacco farmers over the years – they were kept in place long after we knew that smoking killed. We get far too much investment in what sounded like a good idea 50 years ago but makes no sense today.